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Belgium vs Italy Odds and Betting Tips

Euro 2020’s second quarter-final will be a thriller between two of the championship’s big favourites. To be honest, it feels like a final. However, you cannot control where you end up and each stage of the competition and this game seems by far to be the toughest out of all the quarterfinals. There is every reason to expect a close and exciting showdown when Belgium clash with Italy. Let’s take a closer look at the Belgium vs Italy odds and give our betting tips for the game.

Note: Click on the odds below to create a new account with the selected bookie and place your bet. All odds are subject to change.

Belgium vs Italy Betting Tips

If you are planning on placing a bet on Belgium vs Italy, take a look at our Euro 2020 betting tips below. We analyse the performances of each team to make our predictions on what we think will happen in each game. Make sure you choose one of our recommended betting sites if you want to get the best odds and bonuses. As ever, bet responsibly and check the odds before you bet, as they can change between now and kickoff.


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Tip 1: Under 2.5 Goals

Statistics show that an average of 2.4 goals have been scored when these teams have met the last five times. Italy prides itself on it’s defence and Belgium have been rock solid as well. Both teams have only conceded one goal each so far in the tournament, so we do not see this as a high scoring match.

Note: Click on the bookie name below to create a new account and place your bet. All Belgium vs Italy odds were correct at the time of writing but are subject to change.

Euro 2021 BookieUnder 2.5 Goals
LeoVegas8/15
Bet3654/7
888sport8/15
10bet4/7
Spreadex4/7
Unibet11/20

Tip 2: Belgium to win

Italy are the favourites to win this match with the bookies and the odds on them to win are shorter than Belgium to win. So, the value here is in Belgium to win. They are still one of the favourites to win the entire competition and are not easy pushovers. Both teams are evenly matched so it makes sense to put some units into Belgium to win in the 90 minutes.

Note: Click on the bookie name below to create a new account and place your bet. All Belgium vs Italy odds were correct at the time of writing but are subject to change.

Euro 2021 BookieBelgium to win
LeoVegas47/20
Bet36512/5
888sport23/10
10bet11/10
Spreadex12/5
Unibet12/5

Tip 3: Lukaku to Score

Italy have a fantastic defence, but Lukaku has plenty of experience with scoring against Italian defenders. Since De Bruyne and Hazard might not in this match, Lukaku will be the focal point for the Belgian attack and we expect hims to score at some point in the game.

Note: Click on the bookie name below to create a new account and place your bet. All Belgium vs Italy odds were correct at the time of writing but are subject to change.

Euro 2021 BookieLukaku to score anytime
LeoVegas41/20
Bet36513/8
888sport7/4
10bet9/5
Spreadex
Unibet9/4

Whoever you bet with, always make sure it is a fully licensed and trustworthy Euro 2021 bookie.

Belgium vs Italy Match Facts and Stats

Here is all the information you need on when to watch Belgium vs Italy and how these two teams have performed in their most recent outings.

Match Date and Time

The Belgium vs Italy match takes place on Friday, the 2nd of July. The match kicks off at the Allianz Arena in Munich at 8pm BST.

Belgium Form – Last 5 matches

W-W-W-W-W

Italy Form – Last 5 Matches

W-W-W-W-W

Belgium vs Italy Head-to-head

Belgium have faced Italy 23 times in their history and their record against the Italians leaves a lot to be desired. Since their first match in 1913, Belgium have only defeated the Italians 4 times. What is worse is that the have only beaten Italy once in a competitive fixture and that was in 1972. The last time Belgium beat Italy, during a friendly, was in November 2015. The last meeting between these two teams was in Euro 2016 where Italy went out 2-0 winners.

  • Games Played: 23
  • Belgium Wins: 4
  • Italy Wins: 14
  • Draws: 5

Belgium: Team News and Expected Lineups

Timothy Castagne remains on the sideline. De Bruyne and Eden Hazard picked up injuries against Portugal and will be assessed ahead of the Italy game. There are conflicting reports whether they will be fit enough to play in this game.

Possible lineup: Courtois; Alderweireld, Vermaelen, Vertonghen; T. Hazard, Witsel, Tielemans, Meunier; E. Hazard/Mertens, Lukaku, Carrasco/De Bruyne.

Italy: Team News and Expected Lineups

Giorgio Chiellini is fit and can return to action. There were no other injury concerns or suspensions for Italy.

Possible lineup: Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Bonucci, Acerbi, Spinazzola; Barella, Jorginho, Verratti; Berardi, Immobile, Insigne

Belgium vs Italy Match Preview

Ranked no.1 in FIFA’s world rankings, Belgium were big favourites in Group B, and made it through the group stage with victories against Russia, Denmark and Finland. The only slight struggle they experienced was the match against Denmark (2–1).


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The Round of 16 saw them face the reigning European champions Portugal, led by Cristiano Ronaldo. This was a tough battle at the Estadio de La Cartuja in Seville. The solitary and deciding goal in the match came after 42 minutes when Thorgan Hazard scored a stunning long shot. The Portuguese fought and overran Belgium in the second half with plenty of chances – but the equaqlising goal never came, making it an early exit for the 2016 champion.

Ahead of the quarter-finals, it is still uncertain whether Kevin De Bruyne and Eden Hazard will play or not. De Bruyne twisted his ankle after a tackle and had to come off after a couple of minutes of the second half against Portugal. Just before the end, Hazard also cam off after a muscular injury. Perhaps one or both of these will be ready for the quarter-finals, but especially if De Bruyne does not play, Belgium weaken significantly. In the opening group stage Romelu Lukaku scored three goals and although there were no goals in the Round of 16, he will be a key piece in the upcoming quarter-finals. Especially if Hazard and De Bruyne are not ready for the game.

Italy struggled against Austria

Like Belgium, Italy made it through the group stages with wins against Turkey, Switzerland and Wales. Along the way, they did not concede any goals either. In the Round of 16 against Austria they were clear favourites, but their neighbour in the north had the tactics in place and it became a tight and exciting match. At full-time it was still 0-0 and Euro 2020’s first extra time minutes went into play.

In the first half of extra-time it all seemed over after goals by substitutes Federico Chiesa and Matteo Pessina. However, a goal by Sasa Kalajdzic in the second half of extra-time kept the tension in the game until the referee blew the whistle.

Italy have not lost in 31 games and set a new national record with the win over Austria. When Kalajdzic scored for Austria after 114 minutes, they had also broken the old record of 1,143 minutes without conceding a goal. In the Round of 16, they had reached 1,169 minutes. If Italy are to continue this undefeated streak, they must play their best against Belgium. 

Note: Click directly on the odds below to visit the bookie site, create a new account, and place your bet. All odds are subject to change.

Great Odds at 10bet

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New Customers only. Up to £100* in Bet Credits. Sign up, deposit £5* or more to your account and bet365 will match your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs, time limits & exclusions apply.

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